Hurricane Dora (Advisory #24) - Forecast Track Uncertainty
Title: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Cone of Uncertainty for EP052023 (Advisory #24)
Description:The cone represents the probable track of the center of a tropical cyclone, and is formed by enclosing the area swept out by a set of circles along the forecast track (at 12, 24, 36 hours, etc). The size of each circle is set so that two-thirds of historical official forecast errors over a 5-year sample fall within the circle. Based on forecasts over the previous 5 years, the entire track of a tropical cyclone can be expected to remain within the cone roughly 60-70% of the time. It is important to note that the area affected by a tropical cyclone can extend well beyond the confines of the cone enclosing the most likely track area of the center.
Created: National Hurricane Center
Disclaimer:The official forecast track in KML format is an experimental product.
For More Information: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov

Dora