UPPER AIR CALCULATIONS AND PLOTTING (Ver 5.52-LINUX-X11) Current filename: /home/data/upa/2025101512.upa.cvt Date: 1200Z 15 OCT 25 Searching for TNCM... Searching the city database file for: TNCM ... Date:1200Z 15 OCT 25 Station: TNCM WMO ident: 78866 Latitude: 18.05 Longitude: -63.12 Elevation: 9.00 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 1008 9 28.4 26.8 91 1.6 27.2 120 6 300.9 305.0 300.1 367.4 22.51 1 1000 81 27.2 22.8 77 4.4 24.0 125 11 300.4 303.6 297.1 352.4 17.74 2 998 99 27.2 22.2 74 5.0 23.6 126 11 300.5 303.7 296.8 350.8 17.12 3 996 116 27.0 22.0 74 5.0 23.4 127 11 300.5 303.6 296.7 350.2 16.94 4 952 514 23.2 20.9 87 2.3 21.6 135 10 300.5 303.6 296.4 349.2 16.56 5 928 736 21.6 19.1 86 2.5 19.9 131 10 301.1 303.9 295.7 345.7 15.16 6 925 764 21.4 18.8 85 2.6 19.6 130 10 301.2 303.9 295.6 345.1 14.93 7 920 811 21.6 17.5 78 4.1 18.8 133 10 301.9 304.4 294.9 342.6 13.81 8 911 896 21.4 16.4 73 5.0 18.0 139 9 302.5 304.9 294.6 340.9 12.99 9 850 1494 17.4 13.8 79 3.6 15.0 140 6 304.4 306.6 294.1 339.4 11.75 10 799 2020 14.0 11.8 87 2.2 12.6 134 7 306.2 308.2 294.1 339.1 10.95 11 777 2256 12.8 10.0 83 2.8 11.0 124 7 307.3 309.2 293.7 337.5 9.97 12 770 2332 13.0 8.6 75 4.4 10.3 120 6 308.4 310.1 293.4 336.2 9.15 13 708 3035 10.0 3.0 62 7.0 6.0 90 3 312.5 313.8 292.7 333.5 6.72 14 700 3130 10.0 2.0 57 8.0 5.5 95 3 313.6 314.8 292.6 333.4 6.33 15 678 3395 8.8 -4.2 40 13.0 2.3 66 4 315.1 315.9 291.2 328.3 4.13 16 628 4024 4.4 -0.6 70 5.0 1.7 359 6 317.0 318.2 293.2 335.6 5.84 17 598 4421 2.4 -6.6 51 9.0 -1.9 323 7 319.2 320.0 292.2 331.9 3.90 18 573 4766 1.4 -18.6 21 20.0 -5.8 317 8 322.0 322.3 290.9 327.2 1.54 19 532 5360 -2.5 -14.5 39 12.0 -7.2 338 3 324.2 324.6 292.3 332.1 2.34 20 500 5850 -5.5 -23.5 23 18.0 -11.1 280 8 326.3 326.6 291.8 330.4 1.15 21 412 7337 -14.3 -41.3 8 27.0 -19.1 359 6 333.6 333.6 292.9 334.5 0.25 22 400 7560 -16.1 -41.1 10 25.0 -20.4 345 12 334.1 334.1 293.1 335.1 0.26 23 300 9660 -33.3 -46.3 26 13.0 -34.6 355 17 338.4 338.5 294.1 339.2 0.20 24 280 10140 -37.9 -47.9 34 10.0 -38.7 358 16 338.6 338.6 294.1 339.3 0.18 25 250 10910 -43.7 -64.7 8 21.0 -44.4 35 5 341.1 341.1 294.6 341.2 0.03 26 239 11210 -45.7 -67.7 7 22.0 -46.3 55 9 342.5 342.5 295.0 342.6 0.02 27 203 12275 -53.7 -66.7 19 13.0 -53.9 55 34 346.3 346.3 295.8 346.4 0.02 28 200 12370 -54.3 -68.3 16 14.0 -54.5 55 36 346.8 346.8 295.9 346.9 0.02 29 191 12664 -56.3 -71.3 14 15.0 -56.5 54 34 348.2 348.2 296.3 348.2 0.01 30 150 14160 -67.7 -78.7 19 11.0 -67.8 60 29 353.5 353.5 297.4 353.5 0.01 31 117 15617 -76.5 -84.5 27 8.0 -76.5 70 14 363.2 363.2 299.3 363.3 0.00 32 114 15767 -75.5 -83.5 27 8.0 -75.5 70 15 367.8 367.8 300.2 367.8 0.00 33 111 15921 -75.3 -83.3 28 8.0 -75.3 50 13 371.0 371.0 300.7 371.0 0.00 34 100 16520 -77.7 -85.7 26 8.0 -77.7 35 18 377.6 377.6 301.9 377.6 0.00 35 97 16694 -77.9 -85.9 26 8.0 -77.9 35 19 380.5 380.5 302.3 380.5 0.00 36 91 17058 -78.5 -86.5 26 8.0 -78.5 25 19 386.3 386.3 303.2 386.3 0.00 37 90 17121 -78.3 -86.3 26 8.0 -78.3 23 17 388.0 388.0 303.5 388.0 0.00 38 82 17652 -77.7 -93.7 6 16.0 -77.7 1 1 399.7 399.7 305.2 399.7 0.00 39 70 18570 -71.7 -89.7 5 18.0 -71.8 40 1 431.0 431.0 308.9 431.0 0.00 40 59 19586 -67.1 -89.1 3 22.0 -67.3 102 19 462.9 462.9 312.0 462.9 0.00 41 56 19899 -68.3 -91.3 2 23.0 -68.5 90 13 467.1 467.1 312.4 467.2 0.00 42 50 20580 -66.5 -90.5 2 24.0 -66.8 100 9 486.8 486.8 314.0 486.8 0.00 43 41 21802 -60.9 -88.9 1 28.0 -61.5 76 14 529.2 529.2 316.9 529.2 0.00 44 39 22114 -61.3 -90.3 1 29.0 -61.9 115 23 535.8 535.8 317.3 535.8 0.00 45 34 22972 -58.9 -88.9 1 30.0 -59.8 108 19 563.5 563.5 318.8 563.6 0.00 46 32 23354 -59.1 -89.1 1 30.0 -60.0 111 23 572.9 572.9 319.3 572.9 0.00 47 30 23760 -58.3 -88.3 1 30.0 -59.4 85 25 585.7 585.7 319.9 585.7 0.01 48 26 24660 -57.3 -87.3 1 30.0 -58.7 94 30 613.0 613.0 321.2 613.1 0.01 49 20 26330 -53.5 -84.5 1 31.0 -56.1 75 35 672.4 672.4 323.5 672.5 0.02 50 19 26660 -53.9 -84.9 1 31.0 -56.5 75 33 681.1 681.1 323.8 681.2 0.02 51 13 29133 -47.3 -80.3 1 33.0 -52.9 91 36 782.0 782.1 326.8 782.5 0.05 52 13 29133 -47.5 -80.5 1 33.0 -53.1 91 36 781.4 781.4 326.8 781.8 0.05 TRP 117 15617 -76.5 -84.5 27 8.0 -76.5 70 14 363.2 363.2 299.3 363.3 0.00 WND Sounding variables and indices 1000-500 mb thick: 5769.00 m Freezing level: 558.28 mb = 4979.31 m = 16336.13 ft Wetbulb zero: 613.57 mb = 4212.69 m = 13820.99 ft Precipitable water: 1.80 inches Sfc-500 mean rel hum: 60.73 % Est. max temperature: 31.67 C = 89.00 F Sfc-Lift cond lev (LCL): 985.47 mb = 209.84 m = 688.46 ft T: 26.11 C 700-500 lapse rate: 5.70 C/km ThetaE index: 39.08 C Layer 1000.0- 628.0 mb Conv cond level (CCL): 877.88 mb = 1215.76 m = 3988.66 ft Mean mixing ratio: 16.20 g/kg Conv temperature: 31.05 C = 87.90 F Cap Strength: 1.52 C Lifted Index: -2.00 C Risk: Severe thunderstorms possible Lifted Index @300 mb: -4.14 C Lifted Index @700 mb: -0.22 C Showalter Index: 1.51 C Risk: Showers probable Total Totals Index: 42.20 C Risk: None Vertical Totals Index: 22.90 C Cross Totals Index: 19.30 C K Index: 28.70 Risk: 40-60 % chance of thunderstorms Sweat Index: 185.60 Risk: None Energy Index: -1.69 Risk: Scattered severe thunderstorms Parcel Indices Parcel: using 100 mb layer CAPE (B+): 955.79 J/kg Max Up Vert Vel: 43.72 m/s Conv Inhibition (B-): 19.86 J/kg Cap Strength: 1.52 C Lift Cond Lev (LCL): 911.79 mb = 888.92 m = 2916.38 ft Lev Free Conv (LFC): 846.79 mb = 1526.17 m = 5007.07 ft Equ Level (EL): 186.79 mb = 12802.07 m = 42001.04 ft B at Equ Level: 951.42 J/kg Max Parcel Lev (MPL): 106.79 mb = 16142.78 m = 52961.22 ft Wind level data Storm motion: 133 at 5 knt ---------------------------------------------------------- TRUE/GROUND REL | STORM REL LEV P H DIR SPD U V | DIR SPD U V mb m knt m/s | knt m/s ---------------------------------------------------------- 0 1008 9 120 6 -5.2 3.0 | 80 2 -1.7 -0.3 1 1000 81 125 11 -9.0 6.3 | 119 6 -5.5 3.0 2 975 305 135 11 -7.8 7.8 | 136 6 -4.3 4.5 3 941 610 135 10 -7.1 7.1 | 136 5 -3.6 3.8 4 925 764 130 10 -7.7 6.4 | 127 5 -4.2 3.1 5 909 914 140 9 -5.8 6.9 | 148 4 -2.3 3.6 6 877 1219 145 8 -4.6 6.6 | 161 3 -1.1 3.2 7 850 1494 140 6 -3.9 4.6 | 165 1 -0.4 1.3 8 817 1829 140 6 -3.9 4.6 | 165 1 -0.4 1.3 9 788 2134 130 7 -5.4 4.5 | 123 2 -1.9 1.2 10 760 2438 115 6 -5.4 2.5 | 68 2 -1.9 -0.8 11 733 2743 75 3 -2.9 -0.8 | 352 4 0.6 -4.1 12 700 3130 95 3 -3.0 0.3 | 350 3 0.5 -3.1 13 656 3658 35 5 -2.9 -4.1 | 355 7 0.6 -7.4 14 632 3962 5 6 -0.5 -6.0 | 342 10 3.0 -9.3 15 608 4267 325 7 4.0 -5.7 | 320 12 7.5 -9.0 16 564 4877 315 8 5.7 -5.7 | 314 13 9.2 -9.0 17 523 5486 345 2 0.5 -1.9 | 323 7 4.0 -5.2 18 500 5850 280 8 7.9 -1.4 | 292 12 11.4 -4.7 19 484 6096 275 9 9.0 -0.8 | 288 13 12.5 -4.1 20 447 6706 280 10 9.8 -1.7 | 291 14 13.4 -5.0 21 413 7315 360 5 -0.0 -5.0 | 337 9 3.5 -8.3 22 400 7560 345 12 3.1 -11.6 | 336 16 6.6 -14.9 23 397 7620 345 12 3.1 -11.6 | 336 16 6.6 -14.9 24 365 8230 350 13 2.3 -12.8 | 340 17 5.8 -16.1 25 322 9144 330 13 6.5 -11.3 | 326 18 10.0 -14.6 26 300 9660 355 17 1.5 -16.9 | 346 21 5.0 -20.2 27 271 10363 360 15 -0.0 -15.0 | 349 19 3.5 -18.3 28 259 10668 5 6 -0.5 -6.0 | 342 10 3.0 -9.3 29 250 10910 35 5 -2.9 -4.1 | 355 7 0.6 -7.4 30 248 10973 55 4 -3.3 -2.3 | 358 6 0.2 -5.6 31 200 12370 55 36 -29.5 -20.6 | 47 35 -26.0 -24.0 32 169 13411 50 29 -22.2 -18.6 | 40 29 -18.7 -22.0 33 150 14160 60 29 -25.1 -14.5 | 51 28 -21.6 -17.8 34 146 14326 60 28 -24.2 -14.0 | 50 27 -20.7 -17.3 35 125 15240 45 20 -14.1 -14.1 | 31 20 -10.6 -17.5 36 117 15617 70 14 -13.2 -4.8 | 50 13 -9.7 -8.1 37 112 15850 70 16 -15.0 -5.5 | 53 14 -11.5 -8.8 38 107 16154 345 4 1.0 -3.9 | 328 8 4.5 -7.2 39 101 16459 15 12 -3.1 -11.6 | 358 15 0.4 -14.9 40 100 16520 35 18 -10.3 -14.7 | 21 19 -6.8 -18.1 41 96 16764 35 19 -10.9 -15.6 | 21 20 -7.4 -18.9 42 91 17069 25 19 -8.0 -17.2 | 12 21 -4.5 -20.5 43 82 17678 0 0 -0.0 -0.0 | 313 5 3.5 -3.3 44 78 17983 360 14 -0.0 -14.0 | 349 18 3.5 -17.3 45 74 18288 30 10 -5.0 -8.7 | 7 12 -1.5 -12.0 46 70 18570 40 1 -0.6 -0.8 | 325 5 2.9 -4.1 47 66 18898 120 1 -0.9 0.5 | 317 4 2.6 -2.8 48 63 19202 70 10 -9.4 -3.4 | 41 9 -5.9 -6.7 49 60 19507 105 20 -19.3 5.2 | 97 16 -15.8 1.9 50 51 20422 70 4 -3.8 -1.4 | 3 5 -0.3 -4.7 51 50 20580 100 9 -8.9 1.6 | 72 6 -5.4 -1.8 52 49 20726 95 6 -6.0 0.5 | 42 4 -2.5 -2.8 53 47 21031 70 6 -5.6 -2.1 | 22 6 -2.1 -5.4 54 44 21336 100 9 -8.9 1.6 | 72 6 -5.4 -1.8 55 42 21641 55 9 -7.4 -5.2 | 25 9 -3.9 -8.5 56 38 22250 130 26 -19.9 16.7 | 129 21 -16.4 13.4 57 36 22555 120 25 -21.7 12.5 | 117 20 -18.1 9.2 58 35 22860 110 18 -16.9 6.2 | 102 14 -13.4 2.8 59 33 23165 105 20 -19.3 5.2 | 97 16 -15.8 1.9 60 31 23470 115 24 -21.8 10.1 | 111 19 -18.2 6.8 61 30 23760 85 25 -24.9 -2.2 | 76 22 -21.4 -5.5 62 30 23774 85 20 -19.9 -1.7 | 73 17 -16.4 -5.1 63 29 24079 90 25 -25.0 0.0 | 81 22 -21.5 -3.3 64 27 24384 80 27 -26.6 -4.7 | 71 24 -23.1 -8.0 65 26 24689 95 30 -29.9 2.6 | 88 26 -26.4 -0.7 66 25 24994 90 34 -34.0 0.0 | 84 31 -30.5 -3.3 67 21 25908 90 33 -33.0 0.0 | 84 30 -29.5 -3.3 68 20 26213 90 37 -37.0 0.0 | 84 34 -33.5 -3.3 69 20 26330 75 35 -33.8 -9.1 | 68 33 -30.3 -12.4 70 19 26518 75 33 -31.9 -8.5 | 67 31 -28.4 -11.9 71 15 27432 90 41 -41.0 0.0 | 85 38 -37.5 -3.3 72 14 27737 95 37 -36.9 3.2 | 90 33 -33.4 -0.1 73 13 28042 90 36 -36.0 0.0 | 84 33 -32.5 -3.3 74 12 28346 100 38 -37.4 6.6 | 96 34 -33.9 3.3 75 11 28651 95 37 -36.9 3.2 | 90 33 -33.4 -0.1 76 10 28956 115 38 -34.4 16.1 | 112 33 -30.9 12.7 Wind Parameters Mean winds (0-6000m): 103.4 at 6.4 knts Storm direction: 133.4 at 4.8 knts Shear (0-3000m) pos: 0.7 neg: 1.2 tot: 1.9 10-3/s Storm rel Dir Shear (0-3000m): -88.0 deg Storm rel helicity (0-3000m) pos: 7.3 neg: -5.3 tot: 2.0 m^2/s^2 ave: 0.7 10^-3 m/s^2 rel: -0.03 Storm rel vorticity (0-3000m) horiz: 3.8 stream: -0.1 10^-3/s Energy-Hel index: 0.04 Bulk Rich Number: 223.01 Bulk Shear: 4.29 m/s Storm Parameters ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Depth Mean Inflow| Shear | Helicity | Vorticity AGL Dir Spd Dir Spd| Pos Neg Tot| Pos Neg Tot Ave Rel | Hor Strm m knt knt| 10^-3/s | m^2/s^2 m/s^2 | 10^-3/s ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 500 131 11 130 6| 4.9 0.0 4.9| 4.6 0.0 4.6 9.3 0.59| 7.9 4.7 1000 133 10 133 5| 2.0 0.0 2.0| 6.6 -0.8 5.9 5.9 0.53| 5.5 2.9 1500 136 9 139 4| 1.3 0.9 2.2| 7.3 -0.8 6.5 4.4 0.47| 4.7 2.2 2000 136 8 140 4| 1.0 0.6 1.6| 7.3 -1.1 6.2 3.1 0.39| 3.7 1.5 2500 134 8 136 3| 0.8 1.1 1.9| 7.3 -3.0 4.3 1.7 0.12| 3.7 0.4 3000 131 7 127 2| 0.7 1.2 1.9| 7.3 -5.3 2.0 0.7 -0.03| 3.8 -0.1 4000 121 7 90 2| 0.5 1.8 2.3| 8.0 -12.5 -4.5 -1.1 -0.10| 3.9 -0.4 5000 109 7 68 3| 0.4 1.7 2.1| 10.0 -26.6 -16.6 -3.3 -0.19| 3.8 -0.7 6000 103 6 56 3| 0.7 1.8 2.5| 12.6 -43.9 -31.3 -5.2 -0.25| 4.3 -1.1 Wrote GIF file: /home/apache/climate/data/raob//TNCM/skewt/TNCM.skewt.20251015.12.gif