UPPER AIR CALCULATIONS AND PLOTTING (Ver 5.52-LINUX-X11) Current filename: /home/data/upa/2025101512.upa.cvt Date: 1200Z 15 OCT 25 Searching for MMVA... Searching the city database file for: MMVA ... Date:1200Z 15 OCT 25 Station: MMVA WMO ident: 76743 Latitude: 17.98 Longitude: -92.94 Elevation: 10.00 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 1012 10 25.0 21.1 79 3.9 22.2 295 3 297.1 300.0 295.0 342.7 15.75 1 1000 110 23.4 22.0 92 1.4 22.4 280 10 296.5 299.6 295.6 345.3 16.87 2 925 792 20.4 20.0 98 0.4 20.1 50 4 300.2 303.1 296.0 347.4 16.11 3 850 1519 16.2 12.9 81 3.3 14.1 45 6 303.1 305.2 293.3 336.0 11.07 4 700 3143 8.0 3.4 73 4.6 5.4 40 4 311.3 312.7 292.5 333.0 7.00 5 500 5860 -6.3 -19.3 35 13.0 -10.7 120 19 325.4 325.7 292.0 331.1 1.66 6 400 7570 -15.7 -19.0 76 3.3 -16.8 155 25 334.6 335.0 294.8 342.1 2.13 7 300 9680 -30.1 -39.1 41 9.0 -31.4 185 27 343.0 343.0 295.4 344.6 0.43 8 250 10950 -40.3 -49.3 38 9.0 -40.9 175 27 346.2 346.2 295.9 346.9 0.17 9 200 12430 -52.7 -70.7 10 18.0 -53.0 160 25 349.3 349.3 296.5 349.4 0.01 10 150 14220 -66.3 -80.3 12 14.0 -66.4 155 25 355.9 355.9 297.9 355.9 0.00 11 114 15834 -79.3 -86.3 31 7.0 -79.3 145 31 360.7 360.7 298.8 360.7 0.00 12 100 16580 -78.7 -86.7 26 8.0 -78.7 140 33 375.7 375.7 301.5 375.7 0.00 TRP 114 15834 -79.3 -86.3 31 7.0 -79.3 145 31 360.7 360.7 298.8 360.7 0.00 WND Sounding variables and indices 1000-500 mb thick: 5750.00 m Freezing level: 588.11 mb = 4663.00 m = 15298.37 ft Wetbulb zero: 633.09 mb = 3954.30 m = 12973.28 ft Precipitable water: 1.98 inches Sfc-500 mean rel hum: 69.41 % Est. max temperature: 30.51 C = 86.93 F Sfc-Lift cond lev (LCL): 956.22 mb = 501.58 m = 1645.60 ft T: 21.68 C 700-500 lapse rate: 5.26 C/km ThetaE index: 16.26 C Layer 850.0- 400.0 mb Conv cond level (CCL): 921.19 mb = 827.47 m = 2714.78 ft Mean mixing ratio: 16.36 g/kg Conv temperature: 28.19 C = 82.74 F Cap Strength: 0.62 C Lifted Index: -1.93 C Risk: Thunderstorms probable Lifted Index @300 mb: 0.44 C Lifted Index @700 mb: -1.51 C Showalter Index: 2.18 C Risk: Showers probable Total Totals Index: 41.70 C Risk: None Vertical Totals Index: 22.50 C Cross Totals Index: 19.20 C K Index: 30.80 Risk: 60-80 % chance of thunderstorms Sweat Index: 185.80 Risk: None Energy Index: -0.92 Risk: Scattered severe thunderstorms Parcel Indices Parcel: using 100 mb layer CAPE (B+): 386.90 J/kg Max Up Vert Vel: 27.82 m/s Conv Inhibition (B-): 7.20 J/kg Cap Strength: 0.62 C Lift Cond Lev (LCL): 946.54 mb = 590.66 m = 1937.85 ft Lev Free Conv (LFC): 881.54 mb = 1205.79 m = 3955.95 ft Equ Level (EL): 311.54 mb = 9403.24 m = 30850.16 ft B at Equ Level: 385.48 J/kg Max Parcel Lev (MPL): 161.54 mb = 13758.97 m = 45140.43 ft Wind level data Storm motion: 114 at 6 knt ---------------------------------------------------------- TRUE/GROUND REL | STORM REL LEV P H DIR SPD U V | DIR SPD U V mb m knt m/s | knt m/s ---------------------------------------------------------- 0 1012 10 295 3 2.7 -1.3 | 294 9 8.6 -3.8 1 1000 110 280 10 9.8 -1.7 | 285 16 15.7 -4.3 2 978 305 320 4 2.6 -3.1 | 304 10 8.4 -5.6 3 944 610 50 4 -3.1 -2.6 | 332 6 2.8 -5.1 4 925 792 50 4 -3.1 -2.6 | 332 6 2.8 -5.1 5 912 914 30 6 -3.0 -5.2 | 340 8 2.8 -7.7 6 850 1519 45 6 -4.2 -4.2 | 347 7 1.6 -6.8 7 849 1524 40 6 -3.9 -4.6 | 345 7 2.0 -7.1 8 819 1829 355 6 0.5 -6.0 | 323 11 6.4 -8.5 9 790 2134 35 6 -3.4 -4.9 | 342 8 2.4 -7.5 10 734 2743 40 12 -7.7 -9.2 | 9 12 -1.9 -11.7 11 708 3048 60 4 -3.5 -2.0 | 332 5 2.4 -4.6 12 700 3143 40 4 -2.6 -3.1 | 330 6 3.3 -5.6 13 682 3353 300 2 1.7 -1.0 | 295 8 7.6 -3.6 14 657 3658 275 4 4.0 -0.3 | 286 10 9.8 -2.9 15 632 3962 80 4 -3.9 -0.7 | 330 4 1.9 -3.2 16 609 4267 85 8 -8.0 -0.7 | 33 4 -2.1 -3.2 17 565 4877 150 12 -6.0 10.4 | 179 8 -0.2 7.8 18 544 5182 110 18 -16.9 6.2 | 108 12 -11.1 3.6 19 504 5791 115 18 -16.3 7.6 | 116 12 -10.5 5.1 20 500 5860 120 19 -16.5 9.5 | 123 13 -10.6 6.9 21 430 7010 165 23 -6.0 22.2 | 180 20 -0.1 19.7 22 414 7315 155 27 -11.4 24.5 | 166 23 -5.6 21.9 23 400 7570 155 25 -10.6 22.7 | 167 21 -4.7 20.1 24 381 7925 175 21 -1.8 20.9 | 192 19 4.0 18.4 25 351 8534 155 21 -8.9 19.0 | 170 17 -3.0 16.5 26 300 9680 185 27 2.4 26.9 | 199 26 8.2 24.3 27 284 10058 190 29 5.0 28.6 | 203 28 10.9 26.0 28 250 10950 175 27 -2.4 26.9 | 188 25 3.5 24.3 29 249 10973 175 27 -2.4 26.9 | 188 25 3.5 24.3 30 217 11887 185 21 1.8 20.9 | 203 20 7.7 18.4 31 200 12430 160 25 -8.6 23.5 | 173 21 -2.7 20.9 32 188 12802 150 23 -11.5 19.9 | 162 18 -5.7 17.4 33 155 14021 170 25 -4.3 24.6 | 184 22 1.5 22.1 34 150 14220 155 25 -10.6 22.7 | 167 21 -4.7 20.1 35 133 14935 140 29 -18.6 22.2 | 147 23 -12.8 19.7 36 126 15240 145 37 -21.2 30.3 | 151 32 -15.4 27.8 37 114 15834 145 31 -17.8 25.4 | 152 26 -11.9 22.8 38 114 15850 150 31 -15.5 26.8 | 158 26 -9.7 24.3 39 108 16154 150 14 -7.0 12.1 | 173 10 -1.2 9.6 40 102 16459 120 19 -16.5 9.5 | 123 13 -10.6 6.9 41 100 16580 140 33 -21.2 25.3 | 146 27 -15.4 22.7 42 97 16764 140 33 -21.2 25.3 | 146 27 -15.4 22.7 43 92 17069 145 8 -4.6 6.6 | 197 4 1.2 4.0 44 87 17374 85 10 -10.0 -0.9 | 50 5 -4.1 -3.4 45 78 17983 75 27 -26.1 -7.0 | 65 22 -20.2 -9.5 46 73 18288 110 29 -27.3 9.9 | 109 23 -21.4 7.4 47 70 18593 85 23 -22.9 -2.0 | 75 18 -17.1 -4.6 48 62 19202 75 16 -15.5 -4.1 | 55 12 -9.6 -6.7 49 59 19507 90 18 -18.0 0.0 | 78 12 -12.2 -2.6 50 56 19812 65 21 -19.0 -8.9 | 49 17 -13.2 -11.4 51 53 20117 85 21 -20.9 -1.8 | 74 16 -15.1 -4.4 52 47 20726 95 23 -22.9 2.0 | 88 17 -17.1 -0.5 53 45 21031 125 21 -17.2 12.0 | 130 15 -11.4 9.5 54 40 21641 105 16 -15.5 4.1 | 99 10 -9.6 1.6 55 38 21946 95 16 -15.9 1.4 | 83 10 -10.1 -1.2 56 34 22555 50 10 -7.7 -6.4 | 11 9 -1.8 -9.0 57 29 23470 110 8 -7.5 2.7 | 96 2 -1.7 0.2 58 27 23774 70 10 -9.4 -3.4 | 31 7 -3.6 -6.0 59 26 24079 105 21 -20.3 5.4 | 101 15 -14.5 2.9 60 24 24384 90 19 -19.0 0.0 | 79 13 -13.2 -2.6 61 22 24994 95 41 -40.8 3.6 | 92 35 -35.0 1.0 62 18 26213 75 33 -31.9 -8.5 | 67 28 -26.0 -11.1 63 11 28651 100 29 -28.6 5.0 | 96 23 -22.7 2.5 64 11 28956 90 27 -27.0 0.0 | 83 21 -21.2 -2.6 65 10 29566 60 23 -19.9 -11.5 | 45 20 -14.1 -14.1 66 9 30175 55 19 -15.6 -10.9 | 36 17 -9.7 -13.5 Wind Parameters Mean winds (0-6000m): 83.6 at 8.5 knts Storm direction: 113.6 at 6.4 knts Shear (0-3000m) pos: 1.6 neg: 0.5 tot: 2.0 10-3/s Storm rel Dir Shear (0-3000m): 48.8 deg Storm rel helicity (0-3000m) pos: 46.7 neg: -20.0 tot: 26.7 m^2/s^2 ave: 8.9 10^-3 m/s^2 rel: 0.19 Storm rel vorticity (0-3000m) horiz: 8.0 stream: 1.6 10^-3/s Energy-Hel index: 0.08 Bulk Rich Number: 16.40 Bulk Shear: 23.59 m/s Storm Parameters ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Depth Mean Inflow| Shear | Helicity | Vorticity AGL Dir Spd Dir Spd| Pos Neg Tot| Pos Neg Tot Ave Rel | Hor Strm m knt knt| 10^-3/s | m^2/s^2 m/s^2 | 10^-3/s ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 500 304 6 298 12| 5.0 0.0 5.0| 23.9 -6.1 17.8 35.6 0.31| 19.6 6.0 1000 349 5 318 10| 3.6 0.0 3.6| 27.4 -6.1 21.3 21.3 0.33| 12.2 4.0 1500 14 5 330 9| 2.6 0.0 2.6| 28.9 -6.1 22.8 15.2 0.34| 8.6 2.9 2000 14 6 331 9| 1.9 0.7 2.6| 33.4 -14.2 19.2 9.6 0.21| 8.3 1.7 2500 21 6 335 9| 2.5 0.6 3.0| 42.7 -14.2 28.6 11.4 0.29| 7.7 2.2 3000 27 7 341 9| 1.6 0.5 2.0| 46.7 -20.0 26.7 8.9 0.19| 8.0 1.6 4000 25 6 336 9| 2.1 1.2 3.4| 63.3 -34.7 28.6 7.2 0.14| 8.6 1.2 5000 52 7 354 7| 2.6 1.0 3.6| 76.0 -42.5 33.5 6.7 0.21| 8.8 1.9 6000 84 8 37 4| 2.3 0.4 2.7| 92.3 -59.9 32.4 5.4 0.17| 8.4 1.4 Wrote GIF file: /home/apache/climate/data/raob//MMVA/skewt/MMVA.skewt.20251015.12.gif