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Current Conditions

A message from COD Meteorology

Current Local Radar

Temperature
51°F
Feels Like:
51°F
Dew Point	Humidity
43°F	74%

A Few Clouds

Wind Strength
Light	Moderate	Strong
East at 8 mph

Local Graphical Forecast (Updated: 05/24/25 4:06 am)

Saturday (5/24)
Day	Night

	20%
High	Low
67	49

Sunday (5/25)
Day	Night


High	Low
66	46

Monday (5/26)
Day	Night


High	Low
65	53

Tuesday (5/27)
Day	Night

30%	30%
High	Low
62	54

Wednesday (5/28)
Day	Night


High	Low
66	54

Thursday (5/29)
Day	Night


High	Low
71	56

Friday (5/30)
Day	Night

30%
High	Low
72

Detailed Text Forecast (Updated: 05/24/25 4:06 am)

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67. East wind 5 to 10 mph.

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.

Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62.

Tuesday Night: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 66.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.

Friday: A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.

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SPC Convective Outlook Day 1

See Product Description

894
ACUS01 KWNS 241243
SWODY1
SPC AC 241242

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0742 AM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Valid 241300Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
SOUTHEAST...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms should occur across parts of the
southern Plains to the Southeast today. Damaging winds, large hail
and a few tornadoes are all possible. Isolated very large hail
greater than 2 inches in diameter may also occur across the southern
Plains.

...Southern/Central Plains to the Southeast...
Aided by a 30-40 kt south-southwesterly low-level jet, a small but
intense cluster is ongoing this morning across parts of eastern OK.
Several reports of severe wind gusts and large hail have been noted
over the past several hours with this convection. Current
expectations are for the primary cluster to continue posing some
threat for mainly scattered severe/damaging winds as it spreads
east-southeastward into the ArkLaTex this morning into the early
afternoon, generally along/south of an instability gradient/remnant
front. The potential for this activity to persist and/or its related
outflow to generate new convection through the afternoon/evening
across parts of the lower MS Valley and Southeast remains unclear.
Even so, a moderately to strongly unstable airmass will likely be in
place by this afternoon across these regions ahead of the ongoing
convection. While low/mid-level flow and related deep-layer shear
are forecast to only be modestly enhanced, they should still be
sufficient to support a continued threat for scattered
severe/damaging winds and some hail as thunderstorms continue
east-southeastward. Based on observational and short-term guidance
trends, southward and eastward expansions have been made to the
severe hail/wind probabilities across the lower MS Valley and
central Gulf Coast states.

Behind the initial morning activity, a strongly unstable airmass is
forecast to be in place this afternoon/evening over the southern
Plains to the east of a surface dryline, and south of the
convectively reinforced outflow boundary/front. With upper-level
ridging forecast to remain over much of the southern/central Plains
through the day, it remains uncertain whether additional intense
convection will develop along either the dryline or outflow
boundary/front across western/central OK and vicinity late this
afternoon or evening. Strong to locally extreme instability is
forecast to be in place across this area, and a conditionally very
favorable environment will exist for severe thunderstorms. If robust
convection can develop, then sufficient deep-layer shear and steep
lapse rates aloft will support supercells capable of producing very
large hail (2-3+ inches in diameter). A gradual increase in
low-level shear will occur this evening in tandem with a gradually
strengthening low-level jet, and a few tornadoes may occur with any
supercells that can remain surface based. Otherwise, additional
rounds of mainly elevated convection may occur tonight into early
Sunday morning across parts of the southern/central Plains, with a
continued threat for large to very large hail and perhaps occasional
severe winds.

...Central High Plains/Rockies...
Aided by modest low-level upslope flow, isolated strong to severe
thunderstorms may develop against the higher terrain of the eastern
slopes of the central Rockies this afternoon and evening. While
instability is forecast to remain fairly modest, adequate deep-layer
shear will foster some supercell concern and attendant threat for
occasional large hail and severe winds. Overall coverage of severe
thunderstorms appears too isolated to include greater severe hail
probabilities at this time.

...Florida Peninsula...
Another day of seasonably cool mid-level temperatures atop a moist
low-level airmass combined with strong daytime heating will likely
support moderate to locally strong instability across parts of the
FL Peninsula this afternoon. While large-scale forcing for ascent
will remain weak, both the Gulf and Atlantic Coast sea breezes
should aid in scattered thunderstorm development by peak afternoon
heating. Modest deep-layer shear should support some updraft
organization, and isolated hail/wind gusts appear possible with any
of the stronger cores that can be sustained.

..Gleason/Leitman.. 05/24/2025

$$

The "Convective Outlooks" issued by SPC can be thought of as a detailed discussion of the Severe Thunderstorm threat and it's associated risks nationwide. Risk levels range from Marginal to Slight, Enhanced, Moderate, and High and are issued based on the likelihood of 3 major severe weather threats; the risk of tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail. These discussions are often heavily laced meteorological terminology that may be difficult to understand without a background in the field. However understanding these discussions shouldn't be thought of as necessary. Instead, should DuPage county fall under one of these threat levels for severe weather, the response should be to have a heightened level of awareness about the deveoloping weather. Keep an eye on the "Watch County Notification" for any active severe weather watches issued for DuPage county; the "Hazardous Weather Outlook" and "Severe Weather Statement" can also be helpful in explaining the developing risk; additionally, watch for "Active Weather Warnings" and keep an eye on our "Regional Satellite and Radar" products which can be viewed with active watches/warnings or lightning activity.

SPC Convective Outlook Day 2

See Product Description

052
ACUS02 KWNS 240559
SWODY2
SPC AC 240558

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1258 AM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...OZARKS...LOWER TO MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...

...SUMMARY...
A severe threat is expected Sunday afternoon and evening across
parts of the southern and central Plains. A threat for large hail,
wind damage and a couple tornadoes will be possible. A wind damage
and hail threat is also expected from parts of the Ozarks into the
Southeast.

...Southern and Central Plains/Ozarks/Lower To Mid Mississippi
Valley/Central Gulf Coast States...
A mid-level ridge is forecast to move eastward across the central
Plains on Sunday, as southwest flow becomes established in the wake
of the ridge. At the surface, a front is forecast to be located
across central Oklahoma eastward into the Ozarks early in the day.
Near the front, some model forecasts show a linear convective system
at the start of the period in the western Ozarks. This convection
could become organized as surface temperatures warm across a moist
and unstable airmass from the lower to mid Mississippi Valley into
the central Gulf Coast states. Wind-damage and hail would be the
primary threats.

Further west, the front in Oklahoma is forecast to extend
southwestward to a low in west Texas. Along and to the southeast of
the front, surface dewpoints are forecast to be from the mid 60s to
the lower 70s F. Across the moist airmas, the NAM and ECMWF are in
reasonably good agreement, suggesting MLCAPE will peak in the 4000
to 5000 J/kg range from northwest Texas to central Oklahoma.
Although large-scale ascent will likely remain weak, low-level
convergence along the front should result in convective initiation
during the late afternoon.

Near the forecast instability maximum, NAM forecast soundings at 21Z
across central and southwest Oklahoma have 0-6 km shear in the 30 to
40 knot range, with 700-500 mb lapse rates from 8.5 to 9 C/Km. This
environment will be favorable for supercells with large hail.
Hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible with
the more dominant storms. An isolated tornado threat could also
develop, as low-level flow increases during the evening. Supercells
will also be capable of damaging wind gusts. Due to the relatively
weak large-ascent, thunderstorm coverage could remain somewhat
widely spaced across parts of southwest Oklahoma and northwest
Texas.

Further northwest into parts of the southern and central High
Plains, isolated thunderstorms are expected to move off the higher
terrain during the afternoon. Although instability is forecast to
remain weak, steep mid-level lapse rates could be sufficient for
marginally severe hail. A few marginally severe gusts could also
occur.

..Broyles.. 05/24/2025

$$

The "Convective Outlooks" issued by SPC can be thought of as a detailed discussion of the Severe Thunderstorm threat and it's associated risks nationwide. Risk levels range from Marginal to Slight, Enhanced, Moderate, and High and are issued based on the likelihood of 3 major severe weather threats; the risk of tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail. These discussions are often heavily laced meteorological terminology that may be difficult to understand without a background in the field. However understanding these discussions shouldn't be thought of as necessary. Instead, should DuPage county fall under one of these threat levels for severe weather, the response should be to have a heightened level of awareness about the deveoloping weather. Keep an eye on the "Watch County Notification" for any active severe weather watches issued for DuPage county; the "Hazardous Weather Outlook" and "Severe Weather Statement" can also be helpful in explaining the developing risk; additionally, watch for "Active Weather Warnings" and keep an eye on our "Regional Satellite and Radar" products which can be viewed with active watches/warnings or lightning activity.

SPC Convective Outlook Day 3

See Product Description

245
ACUS03 KWNS 240729
SWODY3
SPC AC 240729

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CDT Sat May 24 2025

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
A severe threat is expected on Monday across parts of the southern
Plains, with large hail and wind damage as the primary threats.
Marginally severe storms will also be possible outside the Slight
Risk area from the southern Plains into the Southeast.

...Southern Plains...
At mid-levels, a shortwave trough is forecast to move into the
southern and central High Plains on Monday, as southwest flow
persists over much of the south-central U.S. Early in the day,
warm-advection-related convection is expected to be ongoing at the
start of the period over parts of the southern Plains. Morning
storms will hamper destabilization in some areas, especially further
north into parts of Oklahoma and the Ozarks. The effective cold
front could be located near the Red River extending eastward into
the Ark-La-Tex. To the south, model forecasts suggest that strong
instability will develop by midday. As surface heating takes place,
and low-level convergence increases near the front, scattered
thunderstorm initiation is expected in the afternoon. Model
forecasts suggest that storm coverage will increase in the
afternoon, developing southward across parts of north and central
Texas. The ECMWF has been relatively consistent with scenario from
run to run.

Forecast soundings from the ECMWF at 00Z/Monday within parts of this
unstable airmass have 0-6 km shear above 30 knots with 700-500 mb
lapse rates near 8 C/km. Since deep-layer shear is forecast to be
marginal for supercells, a mixed mode would be expected. Near
instability maxima, supercells could form and have a large hail
threat. In other areas where instability is lessened, short line
segments with severe gusts would be favored.

...Southeast...
A west-southwesterly mid-level flow pattern is expected over the
Southeast. At the surface, a moist airmass is forecast from the
lower Mississippi Valley eastward to the southern Atlantic Seaboard.
As surface temperatures warm across this airmass during the day,
moderate instability is expected to develop in some areas.
Thunderstorms appear likely to form along pre-existing boundaries
and along focused zones of low-level convergence. Although
deep-layer shear is forecast to be relatively weak, low-level lapse
rates will likely become steep in areas that heat up the most. This
should support marginally severe wind gusts with multicells that
become locally intense.

..Broyles.. 05/24/2025

$$

The "Convective Outlooks" issued by SPC can be thought of as a detailed discussion of the Severe Thunderstorm threat and it's associated risks nationwide. Risk levels range from Marginal to Slight, Enhanced, Moderate, and High and are issued based on the likelihood of 3 major severe weather threats; the risk of tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail. These discussions are often heavily laced meteorological terminology that may be difficult to understand without a background in the field. However understanding these discussions shouldn't be thought of as necessary. Instead, should DuPage county fall under one of these threat levels for severe weather, the response should be to have a heightened level of awareness about the deveoloping weather. Keep an eye on the "Watch County Notification" for any active severe weather watches issued for DuPage county; the "Hazardous Weather Outlook" and "Severe Weather Statement" can also be helpful in explaining the developing risk; additionally, watch for "Active Weather Warnings" and keep an eye on our "Regional Satellite and Radar" products which can be viewed with active watches/warnings or lightning activity.