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Current Conditions

A message from COD Meteorology

Current Local Radar

Temperature
60°F
Feels Like:
60°F
Dew Point	Humidity
53°F	78%

Overcast

Wind Strength
Light	Moderate	Strong
West at 8 mph

Local Graphical Forecast (Updated: 05/01/25 9:06 pm)

Thursday (5/1)
Day	Night

	40%
High	Low
	49

Friday (5/2)
Day	Night

30%	20%
High	Low
64	44

Saturday (5/3)
Day	Night

	20%
High	Low
54	44

Sunday (5/4)
Day	Night

50%	40%
High	Low
55	47

Monday (5/5)
Day	Night

30%
High	Low
60	47

Tuesday (5/6)
Day	Night


High	Low
70	52

Wednesday (5/7)
Day	Night

30%
High	Low
71	49

Detailed Text Forecast (Updated: 05/01/25 9:06 pm)

Thursday Night: Scattered showers, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 49. West wind around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Friday: Scattered showers before 8am, then a slight chance of showers after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 54. North northeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. North northeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Sunday: A 50 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 55.

Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.

Monday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.

Wednesday: A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 71.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.

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SPC Convective Outlook Day 1

See Product Description

721
ACUS01 KWNS 020128
SWODY1
SPC AC 020126

Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0826 PM CDT Thu May 01 2025

Valid 020100Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF S CNTRL TX AND PARTS OF WRN/CNTRL PA...AND THROUGH
TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF SRN OK...NRN TX...

CORRECTED HAIL GRAPHIC

...SUMMARY...
Increasing strong to severe thunderstorm development is still
expected tonight across parts of the south central Great Plains,
mainly across the Texas Panhandle through the Red River vicinity,
accompanied, primarily, by the potential for large hail and damaging
wind gusts.

...01Z Update...
Model output remains varied concerning the potential evolution of
convection across the south central Great Plains tonight.
Convection that initiated late this afternoon near and southeast of
the Raton Mesa, appears to be evolving into small cluster, with a
developing surface cold pool currently advancing southeastward
across the western Texas Panhandle. In advance of this activity, an
increasingly moist boundary layer with eastward extent into the Red
River vicinity is contributing to sizable potential instability,
beneath the northern periphery of notably dry air in the
lower/mid-troposphere, including a deep elevated mixed layer based
around 850 mb.

As the evolving convective cluster acquires increasingly unstable
updraft inflow, there appears potential for substantive further
intensification across the southeastern Texas Panhandle into
portions of southwestern Oklahoma and northwest Texas by around
05-06Z. Around that time, strengthening large-scale ascent within
the unstable downstream environment, aided by strengthening
lower/mid-tropospheric warm advection, may support increasing
thunderstorm development near and north of the Red River. Strong
deep-layer shear and at least modestly enlarging low-level
hodographs near the Red River may support supercells with potential
to produce large hail and perhaps some risk for a tornado.

At the same time, the east-southeastward advancing surface cold pool
may maintain strength and perhaps strengthen further while
supporting increasing upscale growth, including merging with the
preceding warm advection driven convection. It appears possible
that an increasingly organized cluster of storms could evolve with
sustained strong to severe wind gusts across much of southern
Oklahoma and adjacent north Texas by daybreak. The NAM, however,
still appears to remain a significant outlier concerning the
potential strength of the convective perturbation, with other output
more modest.

Otherwise, isolated to widely scattered ongoing strong to severe
thunderstorm development across parts of central Texas into areas
southeast of Del Rio probably will continue to wane this evening as
inhibition increases with boundary layer cooling.

..Kerr.. 05/02/2025

$$

The "Convective Outlooks" issued by SPC can be thought of as a detailed discussion of the Severe Thunderstorm threat and it's associated risks nationwide. Risk levels range from Marginal to Slight, Enhanced, Moderate, and High and are issued based on the likelihood of 3 major severe weather threats; the risk of tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail. These discussions are often heavily laced meteorological terminology that may be difficult to understand without a background in the field. However understanding these discussions shouldn't be thought of as necessary. Instead, should DuPage county fall under one of these threat levels for severe weather, the response should be to have a heightened level of awareness about the deveoloping weather. Keep an eye on the "Watch County Notification" for any active severe weather watches issued for DuPage county; the "Hazardous Weather Outlook" and "Severe Weather Statement" can also be helpful in explaining the developing risk; additionally, watch for "Active Weather Warnings" and keep an eye on our "Regional Satellite and Radar" products which can be viewed with active watches/warnings or lightning activity.

SPC Convective Outlook Day 2

See Product Description

446
ACUS02 KWNS 011729
SWODY2
SPC AC 011727

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1227 PM CDT Thu May 01 2025

Valid 021200Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT FROM CENTRAL TEXAS TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected from central
Texas to middle Tennessee and central Kentucky Friday afternoon into
early Friday night. Large hail and damaging winds are the main
threats.

...Synopsis...
Downstream from a ridge over the Great Basin, a shortwave trough now
amplifying over the northern High Plains will continue southeastward
across KS/OK/MO/AR on Friday. A separate/lead shortwave trough will
eject quickly northeastward from the Great Lakes to the Saint
Lawrence Valley. The lead shortwave trough will be associated with
a weak surface cyclone across southeast QC and a trailing cold front
into the lower Great Lakes. Farther southwest, the surface pattern
will likely be modulated by the effects of overnight convection from
D1 that will likely be ongoing at the start of the period from north
TX and southern/eastern OK into western AR.

...Central TX to middle TN...
Differential heating and outflow from the early convection will
reinforce a baroclinic zone during the day from north/central TX
into central AR. Surface heating/destabilization in advance of the
remnant morning convection should result in re-invigoration of the
convection by early afternoon across parts of the Mid-South and TN
Valley, where the storm environment will favor clusters/line
segments capable of producing occasional wind damage and large hail.

Strong surface heating will occur south of the morning convection in
TX where afternoon MLCAPE will likely exceed 2000 J/kg. The eastern
extension of an EML, effective bulk shear of 30-40 kt and stronger
flow aloft will favor a mix of supercells and multicell clusters
capable of producing large hail (2 to 3 inches in diameter with the
more persistent supercells). There will also be some increase in
the threat for wind damage as storms consolidate into one or more
larger clusters and continue moving southeastward toward the TX
coast and south central TX into Friday night.

...Southern Appalachians to eastern NY...
The ejecting/lead shortwave trough will provide a glancing influence
across NY during the afternoon, where a weakly unstable warm sector
is expected. Though buoyancy will not be particularly large (MLCAPE
generally less than 1000 J/kg), some enhancement to midlevel flow
(up to 40 kt) and steepened low-level lapse rates in the afternoon
could support isolated wind damage with cell/small clusters.
Farther south, flow aloft will be weaker, though stronger surface
heating/larger buoyancy will compensate. Storm coverage is expected
to remain widely scattered (more probable closer to the higher
terrain/Blue Ridge), but thermodynamic profiles will favor
sufficiently strong downdrafts for isolated wind damage.

..Thompson.. 05/01/2025

$$

The "Convective Outlooks" issued by SPC can be thought of as a detailed discussion of the Severe Thunderstorm threat and it's associated risks nationwide. Risk levels range from Marginal to Slight, Enhanced, Moderate, and High and are issued based on the likelihood of 3 major severe weather threats; the risk of tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail. These discussions are often heavily laced meteorological terminology that may be difficult to understand without a background in the field. However understanding these discussions shouldn't be thought of as necessary. Instead, should DuPage county fall under one of these threat levels for severe weather, the response should be to have a heightened level of awareness about the deveoloping weather. Keep an eye on the "Watch County Notification" for any active severe weather watches issued for DuPage county; the "Hazardous Weather Outlook" and "Severe Weather Statement" can also be helpful in explaining the developing risk; additionally, watch for "Active Weather Warnings" and keep an eye on our "Regional Satellite and Radar" products which can be viewed with active watches/warnings or lightning activity.

SPC Convective Outlook Day 3

See Product Description

892
ACUS03 KWNS 011925
SWODY3
SPC AC 011924

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0224 PM CDT Thu May 01 2025

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC AND
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe storms are possible on Saturday from the
Southeast to southern New England and across deep South Texas.

...Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast...
Somewhat of a blocking pattern will evolve over the CONUS by
Saturday, with a closed low over the mid MS/lower OH Valleys,
downstream from a ridge over the Plains, and another closed low near
southern CA. Weak surface cyclogenesis is expected across the OH
Valley downstream from the closed midlevel low, with a cold front
trailing southwestward to south TX. A broad warm sector with
boundary-layer dewpoints in the 60s is expected from the
Mid-Atlantic into the Southeast, though substantial convection
through Friday/D2 casts some uncertainty on the quality of buoyancy
in the warm sector from the OH Valley into AL by Saturday. Assuming
a few pockets of surface heating coincident with the band of
stronger midlevel flow east-through-southeast of the midlevel low,
there could be a few clusters/line segments capable of producing
isolated wind damage.

Stronger surface heating/destabilization is expected east of the
Appalachians, but forcing for ascent will be weak and storm coverage
is uncertain well east of the higher terrain during the afternoon,
with storm development more probable from the Piedmont and Blue
Ridge northeastward into eastern PA/southeastern NY. Isolated wind
damage and some hail will be possible.

There is potential for an eventual upgrade to SLGT risk for a
portion of the MRGL area, pending more clarity regarding the
influence of convection prior to D3.

...Deep South TX...
A surface cold front, likely modified by convective outflow Friday
night, is expected to move southward into South TX early Saturday.
There is substantial uncertainty regarding the location of the
effective front, which likewise casts doubt on the potential for
additional storm development by Saturday afternoon. Will maintain
the MRGL in this update, but it may need to be removed in subsequent
updates.

..Thompson.. 05/01/2025

$$

The "Convective Outlooks" issued by SPC can be thought of as a detailed discussion of the Severe Thunderstorm threat and it's associated risks nationwide. Risk levels range from Marginal to Slight, Enhanced, Moderate, and High and are issued based on the likelihood of 3 major severe weather threats; the risk of tornadoes, damaging winds, and hail. These discussions are often heavily laced meteorological terminology that may be difficult to understand without a background in the field. However understanding these discussions shouldn't be thought of as necessary. Instead, should DuPage county fall under one of these threat levels for severe weather, the response should be to have a heightened level of awareness about the deveoloping weather. Keep an eye on the "Watch County Notification" for any active severe weather watches issued for DuPage county; the "Hazardous Weather Outlook" and "Severe Weather Statement" can also be helpful in explaining the developing risk; additionally, watch for "Active Weather Warnings" and keep an eye on our "Regional Satellite and Radar" products which can be viewed with active watches/warnings or lightning activity.