155  
WTPZ23 KNHC 080226  
TCMEP3  
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132008  
0300 UTC MON SEP 08 2008  
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 109.8W AT 08/0300Z  
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM  
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB  
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.  
50 KT....... 0NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.  
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 100SW 45NW.  
12 FT SEAS..180NE 200SE 100SW 80NW.  
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL  
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.  
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 109.8W AT 08/0300Z  
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 109.4W  
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.9N 110.9W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.9N 112.3W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 100SW 50NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.7N 113.3W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 21.6N 113.7W  
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.8N 113.3W  
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.  
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.  
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.  
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM  
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 24.0N 112.0W...NEAR SOUTHWEST COAST OF BAJA  
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.  
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 25.0N 110.5W...OVER SRN GULF OF CALIFORNIA  
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.  
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 109.8W  
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z  
 

 
FORECASTER STEWART  
 
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab TPC Page Main Text Page