407
FZPN03 KNHC 071536
HSFEP2
HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 07 2008
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
PAN PAN
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 09.
.WARNINGS.
..HURRICANE WARNING
.HURRICANE NORBERT NEAR 15.3N 107.1W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 07
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 75 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 26 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORBERT NEAR 16.3N 109.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
TO 28 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORBERT NEAR 18.0N 112.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E AND 120 W
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORBERT NEAR 20.5N 113.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NORBERT NEAR 23.5N 112.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NORBERT NEAR 26.0N 110.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
EXCEPT AS NOTED IN NORBERT WARNINGS
WITHIN 150 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS
WITHIN 180 NM
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT.
48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS
WITHIN 300 NM
NE QUADRANT...220 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
LOW...REMNANTS OF MARIE
NEAR 19N125W 1010 MB MOVE SW 5 KT.
WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 17N126W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW AND
90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 16N128W 1009 MB. WITHIN 240 NW AND N
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
60 NM OF LOW CENTER WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.LOW NEAR 11N88W 1007 MB DRIFTING SE. WITHIN 120 NM W QUADRANT
OF LOW WINDS W TO NW 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 07N TO
11N BETWEEN 86W AND AND 94W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT.
24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE
NEAR 12N89W
1006 MB. WITHIN 180 NM W AND 120 NM E SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE
12N90W 1005
MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.
EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE
SE OF LINE FROM 30N126W TO 20N140W TO A
LINE FROM 24N112W TO 11N120W TO 11N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE
N OF 28N W OF 126W
NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT...FAR NW. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 25N
BETWEEN 122W AND 136W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE
NW OF LINE FROM
30N121W TO 19N140W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...HIGHEST N. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL...HIGHEST NW PART.
.ELSEWHERE FROM 03N TO 07N BETWEEN E OF 100W S TO SW WINDS TO 20
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 101W AND
111W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN 103W AND
116W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW
SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
CONVECTION VALID 1530 UTC TUE OCT 07
HURRICANE NORBERT...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SE
90 NM NE
...60 NM SW AND 30 NM NW QUADRANTS. SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE.
LOW NEAR 11N88W
SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM SW QUADRANT.
.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN
92W AND 95W.
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE
05N77W TO 06N90W TO 09N92W TO
09N103W TO 12N115W TO 12N125W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W
AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN
79W AND 84W...AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN
96W AND 107W.
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.
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